Gold inches down from seven-week high, US inflation data in focus

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
Gold inches down from seven-week high, US inflation data in focus teaser image

Aug 10 (Reuters) - Gold inched lower on Monday after prices hit a seven-week high ‌in the previous session, pressured by a stronger dollar, while investors look ahead to inflation data for fresh clues on the central bank's policy path.

Spot gold was down 0.2% at $4,332.68 per ounce, as of ​1122 GMT. Prices hit their highest since June 17 on Friday after weak U.S. ​nonfarm payrolls data.

U.S. gold futures fell 0.2% to $4,391.60 on Monday.

The dollar gained ⁠0.2%, making greenback-priced bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies.

"Gold remains capped by the ​U.S.–Iran conflict and tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. These developments are keeping the threat of ​higher energy prices and inflation alive, shielding the greenback from further losses and creating a headwind for bullion," said ActivTrades senior analyst Ricardo Evangelista.

Oil prices edged higher on optimism over talks to reopen the Strait ​of Hormuz, though gains were capped by Iran's insistence that the United States must ​satisfy several demands before the waterway can reopen.

Elevated oil prices could stoke fears around inflation and higher-for-longer interest rates. ‌While ⁠gold is traditionally seen as an inflation hedge, it loses its appeal in a high-interest-rate environment.

Data showed the U.S. economy unexpectedly shed jobs in July, while previously reported job gains for the prior two months were revised sharply lower.

Traders are now pricing a 44% chance of ​a rate hike in ​September, compared to ⁠57% before the jobs report, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. FEDWATCH

Investors are now awaiting U.S. consumer price data due on Wednesday and producer ​price data on Thursday for further clues on the Fed's interest-rate ​outlook.

Economists polled ⁠by Reuters expect the July consumer price index to have risen 3.4% year-on-year, compared with 3.5% in June.

"A headline figure below the consensus forecast of 3.4% could further reduce expectations of a ⁠Fed ​rate increase before the end of the year, weakening ​the dollar and creating upside potential for gold," said Evangelista.

Spot silver rose 0.6% to $63.94 per ounce, while platinum fell ​0.5% to $1,736.20, and palladium lost 1.5% to $1,357.

Reporting by Pablo Sinha in Bengaluru; Editing by Leroy Leo

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