NY Fed finds little change in inflation expectations in July

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
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Aug 7 (Reuters) - Americans’ outlook for inflation was little changed in July compared to the prior month as households ​marked up their assessments of their current and future financial ‌situations, a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said on Friday.

Inflation a year from now is seen at 3.6% versus June’s ​3.7% reading, while the inflation projections for three and ​five years from now held steady at 3.3% and ⁠3%, respectively, the bank said in its latest Survey of ​Consumer Expectations.

The stable outlook for inflation comes as the public’s outlook ​has been buffeted by persistently high price pressures and lots of volatility in energy prices amid the shifting tides of the Middle East war. Current ​inflation is well above the Fed’s 2% target and officials ​are actively debating whether they’ll need to lift interest rates to guide price ‌changes ⁠back to desired levels.

In the report, the New York Fed found that in July the public again expected future gasoline prices to be higher a year from now, while saying home ​price growth expectations ​held steady at ⁠3.2%.

Households also upgraded their assessments of current and future finances in July relative to June while ​saying credit is harder to get now but ​will be ⁠easier to access in the future.

On the job market, the public said that as of July, future unemployment will be higher amid ⁠a ​rising prospect of losing a job, ​while the probability of finding a job having lost one got better in July ​relative to June.

Reporting by Michael S. Derby; Editing by Andrea Ricci

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